Research seminars

Subnational Debt of China: The Politics-Finance Nexus

Finance

Speaker: Dragon Tang
School of Economics and Finance, HKU

8 March 2018 - T004 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm

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Using comprehensive proprietary loan-level data, we analyze debt borrowing and default of local governments in China. Contrary to conventional wisdom, policy bank loans to local governments have significantly lower default rates than commercial bank loans with similar characteristics.
Due to the importance of policy bank loans for the advancement of local politicians’ careers, distressed local governments often strategically choose to default on loans from commercial banks. This selection became more pronounced after the abrupt ending of the “4-trillion” stimulus, when China started tightening local government borrowing. Our findings shed light on a potential approach to hardening budget constraints for local governments.

Finance

Speaker: Xavier Gabaix

13 June 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Adriano Rampini

23 May 2019 - T105 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Luke Taylor

16 May 2019 - T105 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Jessica Jeffers

18 April 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Emil Verner

4 April 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm



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