Research Seminars

Economics and Decision Sciences Department Seminar "Dynamics of Inductive Inference in a Unified Framework" (with Larry Samuelson and David Schmeidler)

Speaker: Itzhak Gilboa
HEC Paris

11 October 2011 - HEC Paris, Jouy-en-Josas, Room H006 - From 12:00 to 13:30

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We present a model of inductive inference that includes, as special cases, Bayesian reasoning, case-based reasoning, and rulebased reasoning. This unied framework allows us to examine how the various modes of inductive inference can be combined and how their relative weights change endogenously. For example, we establish conditions under which an agent who does not know the structure of the data generating process will decrease, over the course of her reasoning, the weight of credence put on Bayesian vs. non-Bayesian reasoning. We illustrate circumstances under which probabilistic models are used until an unexpected event occurs, whereupon the agent resorts to more basic reasoning techniques,
such as case-based and rule-based reasoning, until enough data are gathered to formulate a new probabilistic model.

Finance

Speaker: Xavier Gabaix

13 June 2019 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Adriano Rampini

23 May 2019 - T105 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Luke Taylor

16 May 2019 - T105 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Jessica Jeffers

18 April 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Emil Verner

4 April 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Niels Gormsen

28 March 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


Finance

Speaker: Ramona Dagostino

14 March 2019 - T104 - From 2:00 pm to 3:15 pm


title : TBA

Economics & Decision Sciences

Speaker: Harry Di Pei
Northwestern

12 February 2019


title : TBA

Economics & Decision Sciences

Speaker: François Geerolf
UCLA

18 December 2018


title : TBA

Economics & Decision Sciences

Speaker: Marko Tervio
Aalto

13 December 2018



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