Key findings
- Non-banks are the main drivers of credit contraction in crises
- Non-bank lending is much more cyclical (and fragile)
- Non-bank credit contraction has major real economic consequences
When credit markets seize up in crisis periods, most people still blame the banks. But new research suggests the bigger pullback may come from nonbanks like the syndicated loan market. These have grown fast but remain fragile, cutting lending harder in times of stress – with negative consequences on employment. That shift could reshape how we think about crises, jobs and financial resilience.